Sunday, April 12, 2020

Covid 19 Reported Active Case Per Million Maps - April 12

[See here for my subsequent update on April 12]

It is now 4 days since my last post on April 8th. The pandemic continues to rage, but there are hopeful signs.

Below are updates to my world map and my North America map, showing reported active cases per million people. Further down are maps showing the percent change in this statistic.

As always, the maps are only as good as the raw data. Many people with Covid-19 (perhaps most people) don't get tested, so don't show as active cases. But I still think that these charts, showing active (as opposed to total) cases, and per capita (as opposed to overall) are the best way to compare countries and regions.

The United States is now bright 'blue', meaning it is in extreme grip of the pandemic. The UK is nearly.  Russia, Brazil and Saudi Arabia, are now bright red, when they were not 4 days ago.



In the North American map below, Quebec and several US states are clearly worsening.



The following shows changes in reported active cases per million people since April 8th. Bright orange are countries where the reported number of cases have increased by 50% or more. White means no change (whether because they are doing badly but have got no worse, or are doing OK and have remained in that state). Bright green means 50% or more improvement in the last 4 days. We see improvement, marked by various shades of green, in countries such as Iran and Germany as well as China, which has been steadily improving for weeks.



Finally, here is a map showing worsening (orange) or improving (green) in provinces and states in North America. Alberta is doing best, but there are several other greening provinces and states, hopefully giving us signs of hope.



As before, the data comes from Worldometer and CTV news.

I intend to update again in 4 or 5 days.

Why I am I doing this? I don't find this data anywhere else, and it helps me gain perspective when helping influence decision-making (e.g. at the University). Also I think the public needs to be better informed.

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