USA, Brazil, Peru: Large countries with ongoing high new cases, active cases and deaths so far from Covid-19

In March and April I posted regularly about the per-capita active Covid-19 cases and deaths in the world and in North America, because at that time there were no websites with comparable information.

Since then many of the key websites have published much more useful data, including per-capita data, so I stopped my posts.

One of the top websites for data https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries, which has increased the number of columns you can display, also now shows data from the previous day and two days ago.

Among the biggest countries (>25M) the Worldometers website is showing the worst hit countries in terms of deaths per million are the following. Those in bold red appear also on the lists later in this post. Mexico is in orange because it appears on this list and second list below, but not the third.

• UK: 606
• Spain: 580
• Italy: 564
• France: 449
• USA: 348
• Canada: 211
• Brazil: 187
• Peru: 179
• Mexico: 114

So the above are the countries that have been hit the hardest overall so far, although looking at the lists below, many of them (those shown in black above) seem to be finally dealing with the pandemic and so only appear on the above list.

Among the big counties, those doing worst currently, i.e. in terms of the number of NEW cases per million is as follows. Countries in orange are on two of the three lists (orange bold - Mexico -  means this list and the above, and orange italics means this list and the third list below).

• Brazil: 156
• Peru: 154
• Saudi Arabia: 107
• USA: 63
• Russia: 58
• South Africa: 41
• Mexico: 33
• Columbia: 32
• Pakistan: 24
• Iran: 24
• Bangladesh: 19

And among the big countries, those doing worst in terms of the number of ACTIVE cases per million is:

• USA: 3454
• Peru: 3184
• Brazil: 1671
• Russia: 1607
• Saudi Arabia: 964
• Columbia: 490
• South Africa: 383
• Bangladesh: 352
• Iran: 344
• Pakistan: 341

With a high density of active cases, these are the large countries that would seem to be most at risk of lifting lockdowns early.

Of course the above data is subject to vast undercounting error. There are undoubtedly lots of deaths not attributed to Covid-19, and lots of uncounted active cases.

It is very instructive that we see the USA and Brazil in red in the above these have leaders who have not taken the risks and science as seriously as necessary.

Where will this all go? It seems utterly clear that this pandemic is far from over in the above large countries, that travel will therefore not be able to resume for many, many months, and that other parts of the world not yet badly affected are likely to also get hit before this is all over.