US Presidential meta-tracker update as of October 5 - mostly consolidation, but one more state for Dems

 Here is the third update of my meta-tracker of US presidential poll trackers. For the method and previous posts see here (Sept 8th) and here (Sept 27).

Since my last post on Sept 27th there has clearly been a shift towards Joe Biden. The debate happened, and data from after that, and the President's Covid-19 diagosis, are starting to be reflected, although not completely.

In Republican and Republican-leaning states, there is consolidation towards trump (white on red below). There is also consolidation in Democrat and Democrat-leaning states (white on blue below). One toss-up state to move to leaning Democrat is Georgia. Two Democrat-side states and one toss-up state have moved slightly towards the Repoblicans (Nevada, Wisconsin and Ohio -- red text). But Joe Biden seems to have enough other swing states (green at left) to carry him, especially if polling shifts continue to move the way they are.